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A New War in the Middle East in Perspective

Democrats in the White House to destabilize the Persian Gulf

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  40 forum posts

With Trump’s chances of staying in the White House melting like snow in the sun, and Joe Biden’s promise to rejoin the nuclear treaty with Iran (JCPOA), the Islamic regime in Tehran is breathing again. The exchange rate of currencies against the Rial shows it well: 273,000 rials for $1 two months ago against 250,100 today. The Iranian currency had even reached an all-time low just before the American elections to reach 330,000 rials for $1.

Nevertheless, if I were in the place of the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and his President, Rouhani, I would not be so relieved because two things inevitably await the Iranian regime:

  1. The collapse of the World economy
  2. War with Saudi Arabia

Let’s examine these two outlooks in sequence.

The crash of 2022

President Trump had better leave his seat to his rival without delay, as the man who will occupy the White House in September 2022 will bear full responsibility for the systemic collapse of the World economy starting on that date. This crash is inevitable, yet the economic, social and monetary policies of the Democrats will not help.

Throughout the year 2021 governments, including those of the most industrialised countries, will do everything possible to keep their economies in a state of artificial life support. But massive injections of cash will eventually finish off the sick, much like those suffering from septicaemia who ultimately succumb to the massive doses of antibiotics that were supposed to save them.

From January 2022 onwards, doubts will begin to arise about any recovery, and as things always happen after the holidays, in September 2022 we will face the outbreak of a chain of domino bankruptcies that governments won’t be capable of containing.

The immediate consequence of this collapse will obviously be a severe drop in the demand for oil and consequently its price. The oil-producing countries, first and foremost Iran which has already lost its traditional market shares, will be literally ruined.

I already forecast a barrel of oil below $10, and I am perhaps optimistic. It is on this basis that I plan to redirect the objectives of the Satrapia consortium, whose economic model is being questioned and therefore needs to be reformulated.

The war with Saudi Arabia

Give or take a few days, the Iran-Iraq war began exactly two years after the Camp David Accords by which Egypt and Israel made peace. Will we see history repeat itself, and witness a second war of the Persian Gulf States against Iran two years after the agreements between the UAE and Israel?

Trump’s withdrawal from the nuclear treaty was primarily to satisfy Saudi Arabia and its allies. In return, the American President had obtained from them the recognition of the state of Israel as well as patience towards the Iranians. With an Iran-friendly Joe Biden, these two elements would be challenged, especially since Saudi Arabia and other allies have not yet formalized their relations with Israel.

The Iranians, for their part, will not fail to drum for what they consider a great victory and will no doubt enrage Prince bin Salman, ready to spend billions to bring the Shiite regime in Tehran to its knees.

Indeed, in 1990, it was a $10 barrel that prompted Saddam Hussein to attack Kuwait. As they say in French, “when there is no more hay in the stable the horses fight”. ■

View online : Crusade against the Integration of the Middle-East with the Caucasus and Central Asia

  Forum posts

  • The crash of 2022? Sooner yhan that. Capitalism is literally collapsing on itself.

    Unlimited loans for big companies with wrong and unsustainable business model and NO money for people who need.

  • Yeop!!! This is Fuckery on a scale so large, that we just don’t want to believe!!!

  • Banks are about to fail. People are pulling money out of the banks and put it into an asset.

  • More people need to read these article, I hate the fact that facebook banned Vortex while they allow all kind of pro-islamist content or ethno jihadist content from other groups.

  • Hard to believe that there are still idiots who believe sleepy Joe was elected and will occupy the White House; nonsense

  • MBS is dead without one day of US support. You can do whatever you want when ruling a country with IQ less than 85, which is less than Chimpanzee IQ. MBS is going scorched earth on any capital in Saudi Arabia, even on SMBs. This is how scared Mr. Bone Saw of military coups, after bribery of course.

  • From my time in Saudi Arabia, I am telling you that you would much prefer Mohammad bin Salman against any other option. The Kingdom won’t fall, it would send too many arms manufacturers around the world into decline if it did.

  • Where to put MONEY before the financial COLLAPSE?

  • A global financial collapse is now imminent. Those who are not prepared will be destroyed.

  • Hey Barney, put your money in my business.

  • A business with a bright future: the funeral home!

    No, just kidding.

  • "With Trump’s chances of staying in the White House melting like snow in the sun..."

    In your dreams... Nationalists will never let elections be stolen by a bunch of corrupt politicians.

  • An open war between Saudi Arabia and Iran? I don’t think so. The Saudis are smarter than that. So are Iranians. However, one option is Pakistan, I mean the Saudis could fund Pakistan to attack Iran. That can be useful for Pakistan; they get money and at the same time they divert their internal problems towards an external enemy

  • Trump represents the bad side of USA (racism, rich oppressing poor, imperialism). Biden maybe is not Mahatma Gandi, but he is for peace. Obama was the greatest president of USA, because he was blacj. Kamala Harris is black AND woman, she will be great. Good Luck President Biden.

    کون خیلی ها هم شدید سوخته

  • @Texan Expat

    Are you suggesting that Pakistanis are stupid? With respect, I can assure you that Pakistanis are far from dumb. Attacking Iran to weaken ourselves before India? If we should ever attack a country, it will be India, not another country.

  • The Saudis and the Iranians will never be able to make peace, it’ s worse than with Israel. There will definitely be a war. It’s not just a matter of religion, it’s the domination of the Gulf - Persian or Arabian ;) - on the oil market, on Iraq, Syria, Yemen... The Sauds have a lot of money, much more than the Iranians, and have ambitions. It is sure that they will not sit on their asses contemplating the Iranian hegemony.

  • Saudians showed in Yemen that despite their sophisticated armement, they were unable to beat poor Huttis. Money is not enough, you need also a brain. Saudis are fat brainless people. They can attack Iran, no fear, they will be defeated in 24h.

  • Don’t underestimate the Saudis. I work here in Saudi Arabia and I can see for myself. They run their country better than Iran, anyway. But they are also learning. They are currently assessing their failure in Yemen and adapting accordingly. Besides, to wage war on Iran, they will certainly recruit mercenaries from Egypt, Pakistan, Jordan, Palestine...

  • But I repeat, I don’t think they would attack Iran directly. Rather, it will be Pakistan.

  • @Zafar Shah

    I didn’t say that Pakis are stupid, but that they need money to survive.

  • Iran is in de facto allieance with Russia and China. In case Iran is attacked, they will send troops and their navies. Pakistan also is very connected to China, It will necer attack Iran. President Elect Biden will force Arabs to make peace with Iran.

  • با اینجور مقاله ها میخوان مردم رو بترسونن که دلار بالا بره خودشون منفعت کنن. ایاالناس گوش نکنید حالا که ترامپ گورشو گم کرد اوضاع درست میشه. این بیچاره ظریف خیلی خدمت میکنه قدرشو بدونین.

  • There will be a crash, for sure. However, with the crash, the Middle East will collapse because oil prices will plunge. They are heavily dependent on their petrodollars and over the last few decades they have increased their spending enormously. They will be bankrupt.

  • If the Middle East collapses, the big winner will be Iran (and Venezuela). They have been living under sanctions for several years and for at least a year without any oil revenues. They are very resilient, they have learned to live in harsh conditions. This is not the case with their Arab enemies.


    مثل اینکه ظریف به ننت خیلی خدمت کرده.

  • Islam was born in and through war. War is just and therefore holy when it serves to fight evil. Let the West use its Saudi henchmen to provoke the Nation of Islam, it only asks for that. The outcome is already clear, even if the price to be paid will be heavy, very heavy: the true Muslims will win as truth triumphs over lies.

    The truth, in its totality and in its absoluteness, was revealed to us by the greatest of the Masters of Thought, Mohammad ibn abi Taleb, whose mouth spread the word of God.

    This same thinker was also the greatest of generals who won all his wars. Yes, to defeat evil, it is not enough to say good words, it is also necessary to be tested by fire.

    Let Biden start the war, the Nation of Islam is asking for it.

  • I always thought that Islam was the religion of "Peace". You confirm it’ s in fact the religion of "Piss". Just a spelling mistake.

  • Dr. Tabatabee,

    As a Muslim, I say loud and clear here that YOU ARE NOT A MUSLIM. So don’t speak on behalf of Muslims nor Iranians. Islam is not what you say, Islam is a religion of peace and love.

    Prophet Mohammad managed to spread Islam by discussion and not by war. It was the soundness of his words that convinced. Just read the Qoran and the book of Ali to any non-believer and within hours he will convert, unless of course he is mentally retarded.

    The enemies of Islam do not know the Qoran and the teachings of Ali. Instead of talking nonsense, spread the good message

  • Zahra Madani said: "... he will convert, unless of course he is mentally retarded."

    I read your fu**ing Quran but I didn’t convert. I must be "mentally retarded".

  • Of course you are "mentally retarded". A sane person will never use insults against the Holly Qoran.

  • The religion of peace as long as we agree with you, right? Your English may be poor, you don’t know the proper definition of peace.Here is one from Wiktionary:

    peace (usually uncountable, plural peaces)

    1. A state of tranquility, quiet, and harmony; absence of violence. For instance, a state free from civil disturbance. quotations

    2, A state free of oppressive and unpleasant thoughts and emotions.

    3, Harmony in personal relations.

    4, A state free of war, in particular war between different countries. quotations

  • Agreements between UAE and Israel, olso other Arab countries, is a treason to Palestinians. Arabs and muslims will not accept it. It will be cancelled finally. Remember Saddat what happened to him. Arabs and Iran must units against Israel insteed of doing war, we are both mulim.

  • جناب خندانی

    به صحرای کربلا میزنید. برای خودتان فرانسه نشسته اید آرزوی جنگ برای ما در ایران می کنید. اما نه، جنگی در پیش نیست. اکنون که حزب جمهوریخواه خونخوار کنار رفت اوضاع دوباره درست خواهد شد. چه بسا شما هم به ایران برگردید تا پول پارو کنید.

  • جناب حاج آقا دریانی،

    شما کاری کنید مردم حداقل زندگی سگی رو دربیارند، پول پارو کردن پیشکشتون

  • همین الانش هم والله مردم پول پارو میکنند. یعنی با پارو باید یک فرغون رو پر از اسکناس کنند که برند نونوائی یه نون سنگک بخرند. اگه نون بربری باشه فرقی نمیکنه باید پول پارو کنند. از بس لامذهب ریال ارزش داره.

  • @Has Taha

    We Iranians should rather unite with Christians against Muslims. We have no problem with Israel, we have a lot of problems with Arabs and Muslims.

  • The problem is not Israel, nor the Christians, nor the Arabs, nor the Chinese, nor the Martians... The problem is India. The world should unite to crush the Hindus. India to the Muslims.

  • 18 other states join Texas lawsuit in state vs state election fight. There’s still hope. The US hangs by a thread! Hoping the last vestige of the constitution will prevail.

  • Not my region. Not my problem. Only China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan can’t live without MidEast oil. As the US leaves, they will be forced to pick sides in the Iran-Saudi Arabia rivalry, which leads to getting stuck in the MidEast quagmire.

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